Optimistic Outlook for The
North American Petroleum Wax Business
METUCHEN, NJ February
11, 2003 According to preliminary
finding from Petroleum Trends Internationals multiclient report,
Business Opportunities in the North
American Petroleum Wax Market, 2002 to 2007,
although demand for wax in North America has been softened by the
recession, the future looks bright for suppliers that stay in the
game.
Petroleum Trends Internationals
research identifies two primary reasons for this optimistic outlook.
The first is, a step change in the manufacturing process employed
to produce lubricant base stocks, notes Thomas F. Glenn, President
of Petroleum Trends International. This change directly impacts
wax supply since wax is a byproduct of base stock manufacturing
and the new technology does not produce wax. In addition to declines
in wax supply as a result of new technology, supply in North America
has also been eroded by a number of base stock manufacturing plant
closures. According to Glenn, The combined impact of
these closures, along with the shift in manufacturing technology,
reduced the number of primary wax producers in the U.S. to only
7 in 2002, down from 16 in 1995. This reflects a drop in refinery
wax capacity from 29.2 thousand barrels a day (TBD) in 1995 to only
10 TBD in 2002.
The second reason for Petroleum
Trends optimistic outlook is growth in demand. While wax supply
in the US is on decline, domestic demand continues to build, notes
Glenn. As an example, Petroleum Trends research shows that
demand for wax by the candle industry reached an estimated 725 million
pounds in 2001, up from 445 million pounds in 1995. This represents
an average annual increase of 8.5% and particularly remarkable growth
considering the significant increase in finished candle imports
during this period. Demand for wax in board sizing, hot-melt adhesives,
and other end-use applications has also posted growth over the last
five years.
Although these and other wax markets
have been hurt somewhat by the recession, an economic recovery,
along with a continuing shift in base stock manufacturing technology
will certainly favor domestic wax suppliers who stay in the game.
In addition, the supply-demand imbalance draws the attention of
foreign suppliers to the US market. Over the past 5 years,
for example, imports of Chinese wax to the U.S. market has grown
from 15% to 47%, notes Glenn.
For more information on the report,
or to subscribe to Business Opportunities
in the North American Petroleum Wax Market, 2002 to 2007,
please visit www.petrotrends.com
or contact Petroleum Trends International at 732-494-0405.
Petroleum Trends International,
Inc. is a strategic planning and market research consulting firm
based in Metuchen, New Jersey. The firm specializes in market research
and consulting in lubricants, base stocks, waxes, additives, and
fuels and other petroleum products.
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